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Nocerina vs Ischia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Longo S.

AI Match Summary

Ischia in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ischia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nocerina
20%
Draws
15%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Nocerina haven't matched Ischia's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Ischia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Ischia
3:2
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Ischia
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Nocerina
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Ischia
1:0
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Nocerina vs Ischia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nocerina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 86 / 100
Ischia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ischia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nocerina scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Nocerina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS Ischia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
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Ischia

(Away)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)