Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G

Nocerina

0 - 1

Real Monterotondo

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Tenkorang J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Monterotondo in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Nocerina

30%

Draws

34%

Real Monterotondo

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Nocerina lately — more wins on the board than Real Monterotondo.
36% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Nocerina Clean Sheet 20%

Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nocerina	Real Monterotondo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	12	6
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	0.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group G

Nocerina vs Real Monterotondo

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group G

Real Monterotondo vs Nocerina

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nocerina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenkorang J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 36 / 100

Real Monterotondo 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nocerina Real Monterotondo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Nocerina scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Nocerina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS Real Monterotondo

0.38 Goals Scored 1.5

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

25% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	34	27	6	1	75:23	87
2	Trastevere Calcio	34	17	9	8	64:46	60
3	Monastir	34	15	8	11	51:44	53
4	Flaminia	34	13	12	9	53:37	51
5	Albalonga	34	14	8	12	55:55	50
6	Latte Dolce	34	14	6	14	49:49	48
7	Valmontone	34	14	6	14	49:50	48
8	Nocerina	34	11	14	9	36:33	47
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	10	12	47:51	46
10	Budoni Calcio	34	12	9	13	33:32	45
11	Palmese 1914	34	11	12	11	41:43	45
12	Atl. Lodigiani	34	11	11	12	43:40	44
13	Ischia	34	12	7	15	36:52	43
14	Anzio Calcio 1924	34	10	11	13	38:43	41
15	Real Monterotondo	34	10	6	18	39:58	36
16	Olbia	34	8	14	12	39:50	36
17	Montespaccato	34	6	12	16	47:58	30
18	Cassino	34	4	9	21	24:55	21