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Nocerina vs San Giorgio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Scrugli A.
37' Event
Dammacco G.

AI Match Summary

Nocerina in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nocerina
20%
Draws
29%
San Giorgio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nocerina at 1.07 per game, San Giorgio at 0.87.
  • Model gives Nocerina a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
San Giorgio Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina San Giorgio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs San Giorgio
2:0
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group H
San Giorgio vs Nocerina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nocerina Compare

Top Goalscorer Scrugli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dammacco G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

San Giorgio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 95 / 100
San Giorgio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina San Giorgio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nocerina found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: San Giorgio conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Nocerina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
Page 1 of 6

San Giorgio

(Away)
29 May
A.C.D. Nardo
5 : 1
San Giorgio
22 May
Casertana
0 : 1
San Giorgio
15 May
San Giorgio
1 : 6
Audace Cerignola
08 May
Gravina
1 : 1
San Giorgio
04 May
San Giorgio
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)