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Nof Hagalil vs Ironi Modiin

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Melman H. S.
15' Event
Broun S.

AI Match Summary

Ironi Modiin in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ironi Modiin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Nof Hagalil
35%
Draws
13%
Ironi Modiin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nof Hagalil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Nof Hagalil have won more games recently than Ironi Modiin.
  • Win probability leans Nof Hagalil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ironi Modiin here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 68%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nof Hagalil Ironi Modiin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Ironi Modiin
0:2
Dec 19, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Ironi Modiin
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Nof Hagalil
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nof Hagalil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ironi Modiin Compare

Top Goalscorer Melman H. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nof Hagalil 95 / 100
Ironi Modiin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nof Hagalil Ironi Modiin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nof Hagalil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nof Hagalil found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Ironi Modiin let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nof Hagalil remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nof Hagalil VS Ironi Modiin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nof Hagalil

(Home)
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
25 May
Nof Hagalil
2 : 2
Hapoel Akko
19 May
Nof Hagalil
0 : 2
Ironi Modiin
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Ironi Modiin

(Away)
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
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