Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nof Hagalil vs Maccabi Jaffa

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nof Hagalil play Maccabi Jaffa in the Leumit League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nof Hagalil averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Maccabi Jaffa averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Nof Hagalil won 0, Maccabi Jaffa won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Nof Hagalil and 1.69 for Maccabi Jaffa. This points to a Maccabi Jaffa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nof Hagalil
28%
Draws
44%
Maccabi Jaffa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maccabi Jaffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nof Hagalil picked up more points recently compared to Maccabi Jaffa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 13%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nof Hagalil Maccabi Jaffa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Nof Hagalil
2:0
Mar 27, 2026 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Nof Hagalil
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Nof Hagalil
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nof Hagalil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Shalata M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nof Hagalil 28 / 100
Maccabi Jaffa 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nof Hagalil Maccabi Jaffa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maccabi Jaffa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nof Hagalil attacking → ← attacking Maccabi Jaffa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nof Hagalil scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Maccabi Jaffa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nof Hagalil went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Jaffa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 48
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823