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Nogoom FC vs Gomhoriat Shebin

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Alaa N.
90' Event
Mohsen M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 A 2023/2024 game between Nogoom FC and Gomhoriat Shebin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nogoom FC
35%
Draws
37%
Gomhoriat Shebin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gomhoriat Shebin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gomhoriat Shebin come out ahead of Nogoom FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nogoom FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 2 A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nogoom FC Clean Sheet 68%
Gomhoriat Shebin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nogoom FC Gomhoriat Shebin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.77 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2024 Division 2 A
Nogoom FC vs Gomhoriat Shebin
1:2
Jan 8, 2024 Division 2 A
Nogoom FC vs Gomhoriat Shebin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nogoom FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gomhoriat Shebin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nogoom FC 51 / 100
Gomhoriat Shebin 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nogoom FC Gomhoriat Shebin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gomhoriat Shebin has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Nogoom FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Gomhoriat Shebin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nogoom FC VS Gomhoriat Shebin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nogoom FC

(Home)
01 Jun
Enppi
1 : 0
Nogoom FC
08 May
Makadi
0 : 0
Nogoom FC
30 Apr
Nogoom FC
1 : 1
Asyut Petroleum
23 Apr
Nasr Taadeen
2 : 2
Nogoom FC
17 Apr
Aswan
3 : 0
Nogoom FC
Page 1 of 6

Gomhoriat Shebin

(Away)
30 May
Al Masry
1 : 0
Gomhoriat Shebin
09 May
Gomhoriat Shebin
1 : 2
Aswan
30 Apr
WE Sports Club
3 : 0
Gomhoriat Shebin
23 Apr
Gomhoriat Shebin
1 : 1
Dekernes
17 Apr
Misr Lel Makkasa
1 : 3
Gomhoriat Shebin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrojet 19 14 3 2 34:13 45
2 Wadi Degla 19 10 8 1 27:13 38
3 Haras El Hodood 19 9 9 1 28:18 36
4 Ghazl El Mahallah 19 9 8 2 21:12 35
5 La Viena 19 9 6 4 30:17 33
6 Tanta 19 8 5 6 23:17 29
7 Al-Sekka 19 6 11 2 20:12 29
8 Proxy 19 7 8 4 23:23 29
9 Al Qanah 19 7 7 5 21:16 28
10 Raya 19 6 10 3 21:16 28
11 Asyut Petroleum 19 8 4 7 20:20 28
12 Abu Qir Semad 19 6 7 6 19:16 25
13 WE Sports Club 19 7 3 9 23:23 24
14 Aswan 19 5 7 7 19:20 22
15 Dekernes 19 5 6 8 19:28 21
16 Makadi 19 2 9 8 17:23 15
17 Gomhoriat Shebin 19 3 5 11 10:25 14
18 Nogoom FC 19 3 4 12 14:28 13
19 Misr Lel Makkasa 19 2 3 14 18:44 9
20 Nasr Taadeen 19 1 3 15 14:37 6
Promotion - Division 2 A 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 A 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)