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Nogueirense vs Alcains - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Nogueirense Logo

Nogueirense

0 - 0
FT
Alcains Logo

Alcains

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 game between Nogueirense and Alcains finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nogueirense
30%
Draws
23%
Alcains
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nogueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nogueirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nogueirense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 20%
Alcains Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nogueirense Alcains
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.14 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Nogueirense vs Alcains
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Nogueirense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nogueirense 76 / 100
Alcains 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nogueirense Alcains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nogueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nogueirense found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Alcains conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Nogueirense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alcains's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nogueirense VS Alcains
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nogueirense

(Home)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3
Nogueirense
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

Alcains

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)