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Noia vs Racing Club Villalbes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Trigo P.

AI Match Summary

Racing Club Villalbes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Club Villalbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Noia
20%
Draws
46%
Racing Club Villalbes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Villalbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Noia haven't matched Racing Club Villalbes's recent run of results.
  • Noia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Noia Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noia Racing Club Villalbes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Noia
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Noia
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Racing Club Villalbes
2:0
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Racing Club Villalbes Compare

Top Goalscorer Trigo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noia 46 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noia Racing Club Villalbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Noia scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Racing Club Villalbes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Noia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Noia VS Racing Club Villalbes
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noia

(Home)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club Villalbes

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
16 May
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)