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Nojima Stella W vs Albirex Niigata W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Women Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nojima Stella W host Albirex Niigata W in the WE League Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Nojima Stella W at 1.46 goals for, 1.57 against; Albirex Niigata W at 1.31 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Nojima Stella W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.81) point toward Nojima Stella W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
42%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Nojima Stella W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 11%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Nojima Stella W
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Nojima Stella W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Nojima Stella W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 35 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albirex Niigata W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nojima Stella W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Albirex Niigata W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Albirex Niigata W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Albirex Niigata W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
10 Oct
JEF United W
3 : 1
Nojima Stella W
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
12 Oct
Saitama W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urawa W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Beleza W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 C-Osaka W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Albirex Niigata W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Saitama W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 JEF United W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Mynavi Sendai W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Omiya Ardija W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
11 Nojima Stella W 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Main)