Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nojima Stella W vs C-Osaka W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sasai K.
20' Event
Yoneda H.
25' Event
Sasai K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nojima Stella W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
34%
C-Osaka W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • C-Osaka W have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Nojima Stella W are scoring more at 1.45.
  • Win probability leans Nojima Stella W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Nojima Stella W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 68%
C-Osaka W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W C-Osaka W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs C-Osaka W
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs C-Osaka W
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Empress's Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Nojima Stella W
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 WE League Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Nojima Stella W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasai K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

C-Osaka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoneda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 50 / 100
C-Osaka W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W C-Osaka W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nojima Stella W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nojima Stella W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: C-Osaka W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Nojima Stella W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS C-Osaka W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
06 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 4
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
Page 1 of 6

C-Osaka W

(Away)
27 Sept
C-Osaka W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Sept
C-Osaka W
3 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
19 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 1
C-Osaka W
13 Sept
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Saitama W
05 Sept
C-Osaka W
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 17:7 14
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 5 0 1 12:6 13
3 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
4 Saitama W 6 1 0 5 5:16 3
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 10:7 14
2 Mynavi Sendai W 6 4 0 2 5:3 12
3 JEF United W 6 4 0 2 5:3 10
4 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 5:12 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 C-Osaka W 6 4 0 2 7:6 12
2 Urawa W 6 4 0 2 13:10 11
3 Albirex Niigata W 6 2 0 4 7:8 7
4 Nojima Stella W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams