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Nojima Stella W vs C-Osaka W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sasai K.
20' Event
Yoneda H.
25' Event
Sasai K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nojima Stella W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nojima Stella W
6%
Draws
4%
C-Osaka W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nojima Stella W haven't matched C-Osaka W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nojima Stella W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • C-Osaka W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nojima Stella W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 68%
C-Osaka W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W C-Osaka W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs C-Osaka W
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs C-Osaka W
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Empress's Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Nojima Stella W
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 WE League Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Nojima Stella W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasai K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

C-Osaka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoneda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 95 / 100
C-Osaka W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W C-Osaka W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nojima Stella W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: C-Osaka W conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Nojima Stella W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS C-Osaka W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
04 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
Page 1 of 6

C-Osaka W

(Away)
16 May
C-Osaka W
1 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
JEF United W
0 : 1
C-Osaka W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
19 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 3
C-Osaka W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams