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Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ikuta N.
64' Event
Uemura S.
68' Event
Otake M.
Assist: Yumura H.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women 2025/2026 game between Nojima Stella W and Saitama W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saitama W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
53%
Saitama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saitama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Saitama W haven't matched Nojima Stella W's recent run of results.
  • Nojima Stella W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 16%
Saitama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Saitama W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.43 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:0
May 2, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Nojima Stella W
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Nojima Stella W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Otake M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Saitama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikuta N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uemura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 36 / 100
Saitama W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Saitama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nojima Stella W scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Saitama W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nojima Stella W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Saitama W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
06 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 4
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
30 Aug
Urawa W
5 : 1
Nojima Stella W
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Saitama W

(Away)
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
13 Sept
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Saitama W
05 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
30 Aug
Saitama W
2 : 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 22 17 2 3 50:13 53
2 Urawa W 22 14 2 6 46:15 44
3 Beleza W 22 13 2 7 44:23 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 10 8 4 30:20 38
5 Mynavi Sendai W 22 9 7 6 22:19 34
6 Albirex Niigata W 22 9 4 9 23:27 31
7 Omiya Ardija W 22 6 9 7 24:28 27
8 Nojima Stella W 22 8 3 11 28:34 27
9 JEF United W 22 6 6 10 16:34 24
10 C-Osaka W 22 5 6 11 20:34 21
11 Saitama W 22 5 3 14 20:37 18
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 22 2 4 16 16:55 10
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