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Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Women Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
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Match Events

41' Event
Katayama Y.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women game between Nojima Stella W and Saitama W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nojima Stella W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
49%
Saitama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saitama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nojima Stella W come out ahead of Saitama W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nojima Stella W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 17%
Saitama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Saitama W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:0
May 2, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Saitama W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Nojima Stella W
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Nojima Stella W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Katayama Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Saitama W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 41 / 100
Saitama W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Saitama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nojima Stella W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Saitama W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Nojima Stella W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Saitama W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
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Saitama W

(Away)
04 Oct
Saitama W
2 : 1
JEF United W
27 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 2
Saitama W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
13 Sept
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Saitama W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urawa W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Beleza W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 C-Osaka W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Albirex Niigata W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Saitama W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 JEF United W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Mynavi Sendai W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Omiya Ardija W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
11 Nojima Stella W 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Main)