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Stadium Background

Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Tanno R.
36' Event
Sakakibara K.
45' Event
Shimada M.

AI Match Summary

Urawa W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nojima Stella W
6%
Draws
4%
Urawa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nojima Stella W haven't matched Urawa W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nojima Stella W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Urawa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Urawa W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Urawa W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 13%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Urawa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1
May 11, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Katayama Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanno R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakakibara K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 84 / 100
Urawa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Urawa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nojima Stella W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Nojima Stella W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Urawa W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Urawa W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
04 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
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Urawa W

(Away)
16 May
JEF United W
1 : 0
Urawa W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0
Beleza W
03 May
Urawa W
0 : 1
Mynavi Sendai W
26 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
Urawa W
04 Apr
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Urawa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams