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Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Merilai S.
23' Event
Leoke H.
30'
Jakovlev M.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between Nomme Utd and FC Alliance finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
34%
FC Alliance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nomme Utd taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nomme Utd have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 68%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd FC Alliance
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 2.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance
3:0
Sep 2, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Nomme Utd
1:3
Jun 29, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Nomme Utd
0:6
Mar 19, 2023 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance
4:2
Feb 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Merilai S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leoke H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardava R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitrikus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 95 / 100
FC Alliance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd FC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

FC Alliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

FC Alliance's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 7

FC Alliance

(Away)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)