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Nomme Utd vs FC Tallinn

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd play FC Tallinn in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nomme Utd averaged 2.27 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. FC Tallinn averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.66 conceded. In past meetings, Nomme Utd won 5, FC Tallinn won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Nomme Utd and 1.44 for FC Tallinn. This points to a Nomme Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
30%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Nomme Utd picked up more points recently compared to FC Tallinn.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd FC Tallinn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.27 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs FC Tallinn
3:0
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd
1:4
Aug 31, 2025 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd vs FC Tallinn
6:0
May 10, 2025 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd vs FC Tallinn
4:0
Mar 1, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Nomme Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Palts M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Tallinn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 53 / 100
FC Tallinn 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd FC Tallinn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nomme Utd & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nomme Utd attacking → ← attacking FC Tallinn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

FC Tallinn let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Nomme Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Tallinn lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 30
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13