Sport Picks

Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium

Nomme Utd

3 - 2

Kuressaare

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Jurisoo T.

Assist: Prunn S.

46'

Sub

Vain B. In: Jarvelaid H.

Out: Vain B.

56'

Chisala B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Nomme Utd and Kuressaare finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Nomme Utd

17%

Draws

13%

Kuressaare

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
70% — that's where the model lands on Nomme Utd taking it.
Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 15%

Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nomme Utd	Kuressaare
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Meistriliiga

Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga

Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Apr 25, 2026 Meistriliiga

Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly

Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly

Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Matas K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oostenbrink K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurisoo T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 66 / 100

Kuressaare 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nomme Utd Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Kuressaare conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nomme Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Kuressaare

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levadia	19	14	4	1	49:16	46
2	Flora	18	12	0	6	38:19	36
3	Kalju	19	10	4	5	33:16	34
4	Paide Linnameeskond	19	9	5	5	30:23	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus	19	8	2	9	27:35	26
6	Tammeka Tartu	18	8	2	8	21:26	26
7	Nomme Utd	19	7	1	11	37:45	22
8	Harju JK Laagri	19	7	1	11	25:32	22
9	Kuressaare	19	5	2	12	19:33	17
10	Narva	19	3	1	15	12:46	10