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Nomme Utd vs Pohja-Tallinna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2019 game between Nomme Utd and Pohja-Tallinna finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
28%
Pohja-Tallinna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nomme Utd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Pohja-Tallinna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Pohja-Tallinna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 2.42 2.07
Goals Conceded 2 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Nomme Utd
0:14
Sep 1, 2019 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd vs Pohja-Tallinna
5:0
Aug 19, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Nomme Utd
0:2
Apr 1, 2019 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd vs Pohja-Tallinna
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 36 / 100
Pohja-Tallinna 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Pohja-Tallinna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Tallinna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Pohja-Tallinna conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pohja-Tallinna registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Pohja-Tallinna
2.88 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Pohja-Tallinna

(Away)
29 Jul
Flora U19
6 : 3
Pohja-Tallinna
22 Jun
Pohja-Tallinna
2 : 4
Rumori Calcio
29 Jul
Vastseliina Tannem
:
Pohja-Tallinna
14 Oct
Eston Villa
2 : 1
Pohja-Tallinna
16 Sept
Pohja-Tallinna
4 : 0
Jarva-Jaani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 27 4 5 118:38 85
2 Vandra Vaprus 36 21 5 10 97:71 68
3 Parnu 36 19 5 12 82:53 62
4 Kalju U21 36 19 4 13 79:50 61
5 Viimsi JK 36 16 4 16 75:68 52
6 Keila JK 36 14 4 18 67:87 46
7 Tabasalu 36 13 4 19 77:79 43
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 6 19 61:87 39
9 Voru Helios 36 10 4 22 48:101 34
10 Pohja-Tallinna 36 9 2 25 53:123 29
Promotion - Esiliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)