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Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Koskor T. In: Pereira dos Santos K.
Out: Koskor T.
40'
Amijekori J.
46'
Sub
Ounapuu E. In: Matas K.
Out: Ounapuu E.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
42%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd haven't matched Tammeka Tartu's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nomme Utd taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tammeka Tartu have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
0:1
May 15, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
0:6
Nov 9, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangaslahti O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 40 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Tammeka Tartu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Tammeka Tartu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)