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Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Pitchaya Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Songma J.
24' Event
Songma J.
72' Event
Phochai T.

AI Match Summary

Nong Bua Pitchaya in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
20%
Draws
38%
Police Tero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Police Tero.
  • Model gives Nong Bua Pitchaya a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Police Tero
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
3:1
May 3, 2026 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
6:3
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
5:2
Apr 2, 2023 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Songma J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Phochai T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Police Tero Compare

Top Goalscorer Honny I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nong Bua Pitchaya 40 / 100
Police Tero 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nong Bua Pitchaya Police Tero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Police Tero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Nong Bua Pitchaya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Police Tero
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pattani5
Chainat Hornbill2
Nong Bua Pitchaya4
Police Tero3
Final
Pattani4
Nong Bua Pitchaya3