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Nordic United vs Norrby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nordic United host Norrby in the Superettan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nordic United have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Norrby's 1.17 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Nordic United slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.44, favoring Nordic United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Nordic United
30%
Draws
12%
Norrby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordic United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Nordic United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 16%
Norrby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordic United Norrby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 13
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Nordic United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordic United 30 / 100
Norrby 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordic United Norrby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nordic United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordic United scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Norrby conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nordic United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Norrby registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordic United VS Norrby
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordic United

(Home)
03 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4
Landskrona
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
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Norrby

(Away)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)