Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nordic United vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nordic United play Orebro in the Superettan. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nordic United averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Orebro averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Nordic United won 2, Orebro won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Nordic United and 1.06 for Orebro. This points to a Nordic United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nordic United
27%
Draws
30%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Nordic United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Nordic United picked up more points recently compared to Orebro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 22%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordic United Orebro
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.16 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Superettan
Nordic United vs Orebro
1-0
Apr 12, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Nordic United
0-1
Mar 12, 2025 Superettan
Nordic United vs Orebro
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Nordic United
3-2
Jan 12, 2025 Superettan
Nordic United vs Orebro
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordic United 43 / 100
Orebro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordic United Orebro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nordic United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nordic United attacking → ← attacking Orebro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordic United scored in 88% of their last 25 games.

Orebro let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nordic United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orebro lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Falkenberg1484228:2028
2Varberg1483328:1727
3Norrkoping1482423:1026
4Landskrona1474322:1425
5Ostersund1464422:1922
6Nordic United1464423:2222
7Oddevold1455426:2220
8Oster1462621:2320
9Helsingborg1462626:2920
10Sandviken1454524:2019
11Brage1444626:2616
12Ljungskile1444618:1816
13Norrby1428416:2014
14Orebro1435613:2014
15Varnamo14311015:3110
16Sundsvall14301111:319