Sport Picks
Nordic United vs Varnamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Superettan Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje 
Match Events
25'
25'
Antonsson M.
Assist: Andersson H.
55'
55'
Meriluoto K.
Assist: Motaraghebjafarpour A.
58'
58'
Sub
Andersson H. In: Freij E.
Out: Andersson H.
AI Match Summary
Varnamo in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varnamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nordic United have won more games recently than Varnamo.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 15%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nordic United | Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Superettan
Nordic United vs Varnamo
2:4
May 31, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Nordic United
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nordic United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gronborg T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shhab S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Varnamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Antonsson M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Meriluoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nordic United 31 / 100
Varnamo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nordic United Varnamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varnamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nordic United scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Nordic United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nordic United VS Varnamo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nordic United
(Home) 03 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1 Nordic United
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4 Landskrona
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1 Nordic United
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2 Nordic United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4 Landskrona
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3 Norrkoping
15 Aug
Nordic United
0 : 0 Varberg
02 Aug
Nordic United
2 : 2 Ljungskile
Page 1 of 3
Varnamo
(Away) 19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2 Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3 Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1 Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2 Varnamo
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
19 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 3 Varnamo
11 Aug
Helsingborg
1 : 2 Varnamo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenberg | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46:33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varberg | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersund | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:24 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Sandviken | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Oster | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:40 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36:45 | 30 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:45 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 13 | Norrby | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 28:35 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27:39 | 24 |
| 15 | Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39:48 | 23 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19:53 | 19 |
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
