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Nordlingen vs SV Erlbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 game between Nordlingen and SV Erlbach finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Nordlingen
30%
Draws
62%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • SV Erlbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on SV Erlbach taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nordlingen Clean Sheet 17%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordlingen SV Erlbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Nordlingen vs SV Erlbach
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Nordlingen
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Nordlingen vs SV Erlbach
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Nordlingen
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Nordlingen vs SV Erlbach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordlingen 10 / 100
SV Erlbach 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordlingen SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordlingen's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

SV Erlbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Nordlingen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordlingen VS SV Erlbach
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordlingen

(Home)
02 Oct
TSV Kornburg
5 : 0
Nordlingen
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
20 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
3 : 1
Nordlingen
12 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 1
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 1
Nordlingen
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SV Erlbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Munich 1860 II 32 21 5 6 74:26 68
2 Landsberg 32 18 11 3 79:43 65
3 Kirchanschoring 32 16 10 6 67:35 58
4 Gundelfingen 32 16 7 9 51:33 55
5 SV Erlbach 32 16 5 11 42:35 53
6 Pipinsried 32 15 7 10 58:37 52
7 Heimstetten 32 14 9 9 64:46 51
8 Deisenhofen 32 13 10 9 44:47 49
9 FC Schwaig 32 12 9 11 48:44 45
10 Geretsried 32 12 8 12 49:46 44
11 Nordlingen 32 11 11 10 58:58 44
12 Ismaning 32 11 9 12 50:58 42
13 Schalding 32 9 11 12 43:50 38
14 Kottern-St. Mang 32 9 6 17 40:57 33
15 FC Sturm Hauzenberg 32 6 5 21 24:64 23
16 Turkspor Augsburg 32 4 5 23 28:83 17
17 Turkgucu Munchen 32 3 4 25 21:78 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)