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Nordmark Satrup vs Holstein Kiel II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein game between Nordmark Satrup and Holstein Kiel II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstein Kiel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Nordmark Satrup
30%
Draws
61%
Holstein Kiel II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holstein Kiel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holstein Kiel II come out ahead of Nordmark Satrup on wins alone.
  • Model gives Holstein Kiel II a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Holstein Kiel II here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
Holstein Kiel II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordmark Satrup Holstein Kiel II
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 23
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.23 2.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Holstein Kiel II
1:3
May 10, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Nordmark Satrup
6:0
Oct 25, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Holstein Kiel II
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordmark Satrup 10 / 100
Holstein Kiel II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordmark Satrup Holstein Kiel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Nordmark Satrup scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Holstein Kiel II let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Nordmark Satrup stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordmark Satrup VS Holstein Kiel II
1.13 Goals Scored 4
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordmark Satrup

(Home)
03 Oct
Nordmark Satrup
0 : 1
Rotenhof
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
Page 1 of 7

Holstein Kiel II

(Away)
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 0
Hohenwestedt
27 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 3
Oldenburger SV
05 Sept
SC Rapid Lubeck
2 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 11 8 2 1 40:15 26
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 11 6 3 2 28:17 21
4 TSB Flensburg 11 6 2 3 32:15 20
5 Rotenhof 11 5 4 2 22:19 19
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 11 6 1 4 24:23 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 11 4 2 5 19:31 14
9 Eichede 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
10 Phonix Lubeck B 11 3 4 4 26:28 13
11 PSV Neumunster 11 3 4 4 21:24 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
13 Lubeck II 11 3 1 7 15:28 10
14 Eckernforder SV 11 3 0 8 19:34 9
15 Kaltenkirchener 11 2 2 7 16:33 8
16 Hohenwestedt 11 1 4 6 18:28 7
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)