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Nordmark Satrup vs Kilia Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilia Kiel in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kilia Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Nordmark Satrup
30%
Draws
58%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kilia Kiel have won more games recently than Nordmark Satrup.
  • Kilia Kiel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kilia Kiel here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordmark Satrup Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.28 3
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Kilia Kiel
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Nordmark Satrup
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Nordmark Satrup
6:2
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Kilia Kiel
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordmark Satrup 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordmark Satrup Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nordmark Satrup scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Kilia Kiel has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Nordmark Satrup stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordmark Satrup VS Kilia Kiel
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordmark Satrup

(Home)
03 Oct
Nordmark Satrup
0 : 1
Rotenhof
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
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Kilia Kiel

(Away)
03 Oct
Eckernforder SV
1 : 6
Kilia Kiel
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Eichede
05 Sept
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3
Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 26 2 2 80:24 77
2 Holstein Kiel II 30 20 5 5 83:26 65
3 Kilia Kiel 30 19 4 7 87:37 61
4 Eichede 30 16 11 3 59:30 59
5 VfR Neumunster 30 15 5 10 61:55 50
6 Heider SV 30 14 5 11 59:58 47
7 PSV Neumunster 30 13 5 12 68:62 44
8 Phonix Lubeck B 30 12 6 12 63:70 42
9 Nordmark Satrup 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
10 Kaltenkirchener 30 10 6 14 49:53 36
11 Rotenhof 30 9 7 14 51:70 34
12 Hohenwestedt 30 8 5 17 48:64 29
13 Oldenburger SV 30 8 5 17 61:86 29
14 Eutin 08 30 7 6 17 32:65 27
15 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 6 2 22 31:77 20
16 Preussen Reinfeld 30 4 4 22 38:86 16
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 (Promotion)