Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nordmark Satrup vs Weiche Flensburg 08 II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nashixwa P.
38' Event
Lass B.
54' Event
Nielsen C.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2023/2024 game between Nordmark Satrup and Weiche Flensburg 08 II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nordmark Satrup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nordmark Satrup
30%
Draws
23%
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordmark Satrup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nordmark Satrup come out ahead of Weiche Flensburg 08 II on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 14%
Weiche Flensburg 08 II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordmark Satrup Weiche Flensburg 08 II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.35 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Weiche Flensburg 08 II
4:1
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Weiche Flensburg 08 II vs Nordmark Satrup
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordmark Satrup Compare

Top Goalscorer Lass B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nielsen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Weiche Flensburg 08 II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nashixwa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordmark Satrup 30 / 100
Weiche Flensburg 08 II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordmark Satrup Weiche Flensburg 08 II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nordmark Satrup Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weiche Flensburg 08 II has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Nordmark Satrup found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Weiche Flensburg 08 II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordmark Satrup VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordmark Satrup

(Home)
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
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Weiche Flensburg 08 II

(Away)
18 May
TSB Flensburg
1 : 0
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
11 May
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
1 : 1
Lubeck II
04 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 1
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
27 Apr
Nordmark Satrup
4 : 1
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
20 Apr
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
2 : 4
Eckernforder SV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 24 3 3 99:24 75
2 Eichede 30 21 7 2 74:23 67
3 PSV Neumunster 30 19 5 6 84:50 62
4 TSB Flensburg 30 15 8 7 64:39 53
5 Heider SV 30 14 7 9 68:51 49
6 Eckernforder SV 30 15 3 12 59:52 48
7 Preussen Reinfeld 30 14 5 11 58:49 47
8 Nordmark Satrup 30 11 4 15 55:65 37
9 VfR Neumunster 30 10 6 14 46:52 36
10 Oldenburger SV 30 8 9 13 57:73 33
11 Lubeck II 30 8 8 14 56:67 32
12 Dornbreite Lubeck 30 9 5 16 33:62 32
13 Hohenwestedt 30 8 7 15 36:71 31
14 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 8 5 17 60:83 29
15 Bordesholm 30 6 3 21 38:91 21
16 Weiche Flensburg 08 II 30 3 9 18 39:74 17
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)