Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023

Nordvarmland

2 - 3

Vanersborgs FK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 game between Nordvarmland and Vanersborgs FK finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanersborgs FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Nordvarmland

17%

Draws

70%

Vanersborgs FK

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vanersborgs FK come out ahead of Nordvarmland on wins alone.
Vanersborgs FK are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Nordvarmland Clean Sheet 20%

Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nordvarmland	Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played	30	42
Wins	8	19
Draws	2	9
Losses	20	14
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Nordvarmland vs Vanersborgs FK

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

2:3

Jun 4, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Vanersborgs FK vs Nordvarmland

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

Aug 27, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Vanersborgs FK vs Nordvarmland

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

May 7, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Nordvarmland vs Vanersborgs FK

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 2, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Vanersborgs FK vs Nordvarmland

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordvarmland 16 / 100

Vanersborgs FK 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nordvarmland Vanersborgs FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordvarmland scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Vanersborgs FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 42 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Vanersborgs FK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vanersborgs FK

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Torslanda	26	18	5	3	59:19	59
2	FBK Karlstad	26	18	5	3	55:30	59
3	IFK Skovde	26	15	6	5	59:28	51
4	Herrestads AIF	26	14	5	7	39:23	47
5	Stenungsunds IF	26	12	6	8	41:34	42
6	Grebbestad	26	10	6	10	39:49	36
7	Vanersborgs FK	26	9	5	12	34:49	32
8	Forward	26	9	4	13	41:42	31
9	Lidkoping	26	7	10	9	30:32	31
10	Gauthiod	26	9	3	14	37:43	30
11	Saffle SK	26	8	4	14	26:43	28
12	IK Zenith	26	7	5	14	37:46	26
13	Nordvarmland	26	6	2	18	26:58	20
14	Yxhults IK	26	5	4	17	31:58	19