Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Noroeste vs Piracicaba

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Josiel
52' Event
Lucas Douglas
90' Event
Matheus Goias

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Noroeste
35%
Draws
20%
Piracicaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Noroeste haven't matched Piracicaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Noroeste's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Piracicaba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Noroeste, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 68%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noroeste Piracicaba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
2:1
Aug 1, 2026 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
1:1
May 30, 2026 Serie D
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Serie D
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
2:2
Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Douglas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Goias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Josiel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noroeste 77 / 100
Piracicaba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noroeste Piracicaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noroeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noroeste scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Noroeste stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Piracicaba conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Noroeste VS Piracicaba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noroeste

(Home)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1
Noroeste
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
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Piracicaba

(Away)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)