Sport Picks
Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru 
Match Events
35'
35'
Matheus Iacovelli
38'
38'
Lohan
52'
52'
Henrique Rocha
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noroeste
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Portuguesa RJ come out ahead of Noroeste on wins alone.
- Model gives Noroeste a 39% chance of winning this.
- Portuguesa RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Portuguesa RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Noroeste | Portuguesa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 14 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ
1:3
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs Noroeste
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Noroeste Compare
Top Goalscorer Marlyson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Portuguesa RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Iacovelli
1 Goals Assists Leader Lohan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Noroeste 59 / 100
Portuguesa RJ 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Noroeste Portuguesa RJ
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Noroeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Noroeste scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Noroeste stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Portuguesa RJ has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Noroeste VS Portuguesa RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Noroeste
(Home) 27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 3
Portuguesa RJ
(Away) 12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0 Americano
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3 Portuguesa RJ
06 Jun
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
