Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Bruno Lopes
(Penalty)
72'
72'
Lucas Douglas
80'
80'
Bruninho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noroeste
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Uniao Sao Joao lately — more wins on the board than Noroeste.
- Noroeste are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Uniao Sao Joao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Uniao Sao Joao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Noroeste | Uniao Sao Joao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Noroeste
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Noroeste
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:0
Apr 1, 2012 Paulista A2
Noroeste vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Noroeste Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucas Douglas
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Noroeste 51 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Noroeste Uniao Sao Joao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Noroeste's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Noroeste went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Uniao Sao Joao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Noroeste VS Uniao Sao Joao
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Noroeste
(Home) 19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3 Portuguesa RJ
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Uniao Sao Joao
(Away) 26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
31 Jul
Comercial
0 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
