Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrby vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Gustafsson F.
56'
Hjalmar J.
59'
Sub
Lundin A. In: Nordh G.
Out: Lundin A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrby and Brage finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Norrby
30%
Draws
47%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Brage's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Norrby have produced (1.27).
  • Win probability leans Norrby's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brage have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Norrby Clean Sheet 19%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Brage
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Brage
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Brage vs Norrby
5:0
Aug 9, 2022 Superettan
Norrby vs Brage
2:2
May 28, 2022 Superettan
Brage vs Norrby
2:1
Oct 17, 2021 Superettan
Norrby vs Brage
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Sporrong A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 40 / 100
Brage 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Norrby found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Brage has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Brage
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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Brage

(Away)
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)