Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrby vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Abdulazeez Y.
Assist: Johansson J.
57'
Sub
Eriksson N. In: Hallin M.
Out: Eriksson N.
62'
Sub
Bjornler J. In: Mambu J.
Out: Bjornler J.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrby and Sundsvall finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norrby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Norrby
15%
Draws
76%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundsvall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

9% / Low Confidence
  • Sundsvall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Norrby Clean Sheet 68%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Sundsvall
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 13 1
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Norrby
1:0
Jul 20, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Sundsvall
3:1
Feb 19, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Sundsvall vs Norrby
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Superettan
Norrby vs Sundsvall
1:4
Apr 24, 2021 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Norrby
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulazeez Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tilly H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekong S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 41 / 100
Sundsvall 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Norrby scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Norrby remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Sundsvall
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

Sundsvall

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)