Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrkoping vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Nyman C.
42' Event
Nyman C.
Assist: Nelson R.
57'
Neffati M.

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Norrkoping
30%
Draws
33%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norrkoping lately — more wins on the board than Falkenberg.
  • Win probability leans Norrkoping's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 19%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Falkenberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Falkenberg
2:1
May 5, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Norrkoping
1:0
Nov 23, 2020 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Falkenberg
4:1
Jul 26, 2020 Allsvenskan
Falkenberg vs Norrkoping
3:3
Mar 7, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Falkenberg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyman C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguda G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 40 / 100
Falkenberg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Norrkoping has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Falkenberg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Falkenberg
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

Falkenberg

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)