Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrkoping vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping host Sundsvall in the Superettan. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Norrkoping at 1.87 goals for, 0.9 against; Sundsvall at 0.9 for, 1.97 against. Past meetings favor Norrkoping slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.00 - 0.56) back Norrkoping to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Norrkoping
20%
Draws
36%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norrkoping lately — more wins on the board than Sundsvall.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Norrkoping taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Norrkoping here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Sundsvall
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Norrkoping
1:3
Oct 2, 2022 Allsvenskan
Sundsvall vs Norrkoping
1:3
May 15, 2022 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Sundsvall
5:1
Feb 20, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Sundsvall
2:0
Oct 5, 2019 Allsvenskan
Sundsvall vs Norrkoping
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 85 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sundsvall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Norrkoping remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Sundsvall
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

Sundsvall

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)