Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrkoping vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jemal E.
30' Event
Prica T.
Assist: Nelson R.
36'
Rapp J.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrkoping and Varnamo finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Norrkoping
6%
Draws
4%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norrkoping come out ahead of Varnamo on wins alone.
  • Norrkoping are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Norrkoping have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Varnamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Varnamo
6:0
Jul 21, 2025 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Varnamo
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Norrkoping
1:3
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Norrkoping vs Varnamo
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Norrkoping
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Prica T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jemal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 85 / 100
Varnamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Norrkoping stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Varnamo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
28 Jul
Landskrona
0 : 1
Norrkoping
19 Jul
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Sandviken
28 Jun
Norrkoping
0 : 1
Norrby
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
15 Jun
Norrkoping
2 : 0
Varberg
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Varnamo

(Away)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)