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Norteno CF vs Arenal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Norteno CF Logo

Norteno CF

1 - 1
FT
Arenal Logo

Arenal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Norteno CF and Arenal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Norteno CF
30%
Draws
23%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norteno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norteno CF come out ahead of Arenal on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Norteno CF Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norteno CF Arenal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 3 8
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Norteno CF vs Arenal
1:1
Sep 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Norteno CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norteno CF 32 / 100
Arenal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norteno CF Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Arenal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Norteno CF's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arenal
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Norteno CF

(Home)
15 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Norteno CF
07 May
Norteno CF
0 : 0
Mercadal
30 Apr
Norteno CF
1 : 0
Alaior
25 Apr
Binissalem
3 : 0
Norteno CF
17 Apr
Norteno CF
0 : 3
Pena Deportiva
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Arenal

(Away)
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2
Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)