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Norteno CF vs Mercadal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Norteno CF Logo

Norteno CF

0 - 0
FT
Mercadal Logo

Mercadal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Norteno CF and Mercadal finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Norteno CF
20%
Draws
51%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mercadal come out ahead of Norteno CF on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Norteno CF Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norteno CF Mercadal
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.73 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Norteno CF vs Mercadal
0:0
Dec 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Norteno CF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norteno CF 32 / 100
Mercadal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norteno CF Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mercadal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Norteno CF's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Norteno CF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mercadal
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Norteno CF

(Home)
15 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Norteno CF
07 May
Norteno CF
0 : 0
Mercadal
30 Apr
Norteno CF
1 : 0
Alaior
25 Apr
Binissalem
3 : 0
Norteno CF
17 Apr
Norteno CF
0 : 3
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

Mercadal

(Away)
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)