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North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
North Carolina FC U23
30%
Draws
47%
Tobacco Road
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tobacco Road

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Carolina FC U23 lately — more wins on the board than Tobacco Road.
  • Win probability leans North Carolina FC U23's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
North Carolina FC U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina FC U23 Tobacco Road
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road
0:0
May 24, 2026 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs North Carolina FC U23
2:4
Jun 29, 2025 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs North Carolina FC U23
1:3
May 24, 2025 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road
1:1
Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina FC U23 66 / 100
Tobacco Road 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina FC U23 Tobacco Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Carolina FC U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Carolina FC U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tobacco Road let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Tobacco Road lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina FC U23 VS Tobacco Road
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

North Carolina FC U23

(Home)
11 Jul
Charlotte Independence 2
3 : 1
North Carolina FC U23
08 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
3 : 5
Charlotte Eagles
05 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 2
Asheville City
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
20 Jun
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 1
Port City
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Tobacco Road

(Away)
11 Jul
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Port City
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
24 Jun
Hickory FC
4 : 0
Tobacco Road
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