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North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United

USA USA

USL Championship 2025 WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC
North Carolina FC Logo

North Carolina FC

1 - 0
FT
Loudoun United Logo

Loudoun United

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Match Events

6' Event
Anderson O.
Assist: Al Qaq A.
10'
Turner C.
56'
Sub
Washington B. In: Hodge T.
Out: Washington B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with North Carolina FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
North Carolina FC
20%
Draws
38%
Loudoun United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Carolina FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Loudoun United haven't matched North Carolina FC's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on North Carolina FC taking it.
  • North Carolina FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Carolina FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and North Carolina FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 20%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina FC Loudoun United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Loudoun United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina FC 42 / 100
Loudoun United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina FC Loudoun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Carolina FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Loudoun United has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

North Carolina FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Loudoun United
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Carolina FC

(Home)
09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2
Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0
Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1
North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0
Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2
Phoenix Rising
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Loudoun United

(Away)
25 Jul
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Loudoun United
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0
Loudoun United
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2
Sporting Jax
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1
Loudoun United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FC Tulsa1
Colorado Springs0
El Paso Locomotive0
Phoenix Rising1
New Mexico2
San Antonio FC0
Sacramento Republic0
Orange County SC1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Hartford Athletic0
Louisville City0
Detroit City1
North Carolina FC1
Loudoun United0
Charleston0
Rhode Island1
Quarter-finals
FC Tulsa1
Phoenix Rising0
New Mexico2
Orange County SC1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Detroit City0
North Carolina FC0
Rhode Island2
Semi-finals
FC Tulsa3
New Mexico0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Rhode Island0
Final
FC Tulsa0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1