Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Schmidel T.
Assist: Haworth C.
10'
10'
Albadawi N.
26'
26'
Guillen A.
AI Match Summary
North Carolina FC in this USL Championship 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: North Carolina FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- North Carolina FC have won more games recently than Ottawa Fury.
- Model gives North Carolina FC a 36% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 17%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina FC | Ottawa Fury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2019 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Ottawa Fury
3:1
May 12, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs North Carolina FC
2:1
Jun 13, 2018 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Ottawa Fury
4:2
Apr 21, 2018 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs North Carolina FC
1:1
Sep 10, 2016 NASL
North Carolina FC vs Ottawa Fury
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Brotherton S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kristo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ottawa Fury Compare
Top Goalscorer Schmidel T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina FC 36 / 100
Ottawa Fury 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina FC Ottawa Fury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Carolina FC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ottawa Fury conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: North Carolina FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
North Carolina FC VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina FC
(Home) 09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1 North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 7
09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
26 Sept
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Miami FC
Page 1 of 4
Ottawa Fury
(Away) 23 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 2 Charleston
19 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 1 Bethlehem Steel FC
09 Oct
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2 Ottawa Fury
02 Oct
Ottawa Fury
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Ottawa Fury
09 Oct
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2 Ottawa Fury
28 Sept
North Carolina FC
3 : 1 Ottawa Fury
11 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Ottawa Fury
07 Sept
Atlanta United 2
3 : 2 Ottawa Fury
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:30 | 68 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 59:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 58:41 | 60 |
| 5 | Tampa Bay | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:33 | 58 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 74:51 | 57 |
| 7 | North Carolina FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57:37 | 56 |
| 8 | Ottawa Fury | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Charleston | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 44:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 35:51 | 43 |
| 11 | St. Louis FC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:41 | 42 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 59:65 | 39 |
| 13 | Charlotte Independence | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 14 | Atlanta United 2 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 45:77 | 35 |
| 15 | Memphis 901 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Bethlehem Steel FC | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 49:78 | 31 |
| 17 | Hartford Athletic | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 49:80 | 29 |
| 18 | Sporting Kansas City II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 46:80 | 26 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Rising | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 89:36 | 78 |
| 2 | Reno 1868 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 72:51 | 60 |
| 3 | Monterey Bay | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 71:53 | 56 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:43 | 54 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 42:36 | 50 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 8 | Austin Bold | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:52 | 48 |
| 9 | Ventura County | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 59:62 | 48 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 59:57 | 46 |
| 11 | San Antonio FC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 62:57 | 45 |
| 12 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Las Vegas Lights | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46:56 | 41 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers 2 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 65:71 | 38 |
| 15 | Oklahoma City Energy FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 45:58 | 38 |
| 16 | FC Tulsa | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 45:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Tacoma Defiance | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 42:82 | 31 |
| 18 | Colorado Springs | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:65 | 27 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2019 (Play Offs)
