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North Carolina FC vs Rhode Island

USA USA

USL Championship 2025 WakeMed Soccer Park
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Fuson N.
36'
Somersall R.
42'
Maldonado M.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2025 game between North Carolina FC and Rhode Island finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rhode Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
North Carolina FC
6%
Draws
90%
Rhode Island
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rhode Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Carolina FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rhode Island are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 14%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina FC Rhode Island
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Rhode Island
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Rhode Island
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs North Carolina FC
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs North Carolina FC
2:1
May 4, 2024 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Rhode Island
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rhode Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Dikwa A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina FC 10 / 100
Rhode Island 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina FC Rhode Island

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Carolina FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Rhode Island conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

North Carolina FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rhode Island
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FC Tulsa1
Colorado Springs0
El Paso Locomotive0
Phoenix Rising1
New Mexico2
San Antonio FC0
Sacramento Republic0
Orange County SC1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Hartford Athletic0
Louisville City0
Detroit City1
North Carolina FC1
Loudoun United0
Charleston0
Rhode Island1
Quarter-finals
FC Tulsa1
Phoenix Rising0
New Mexico2
Orange County SC1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Detroit City0
North Carolina FC0
Rhode Island2
Semi-finals
FC Tulsa3
New Mexico0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Rhode Island0
Final
FC Tulsa0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1