Sport Picks
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
Hong Kong
Premier League 2025/2026 North District Sports Ground, Hongkong 
Match Events
37'
37'
Mikael
59'
59'
Sub
Poon Pui-Hin In: Lau K.
Out: Poon Pui-Hin
59'
59'
Sub
Goddard C. In: Ngan Lok-Fung
Out: Goddard C.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between North District and Lee Man Warriors finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
- North District are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
North District Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North District | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
2:4
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
3:3
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs North District
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 League Cup
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North District Compare
Top Goalscorer Weverton Gudula
1 Goals Assists Leader David K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikael
1 Goals Assists Leader Tachibana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North District 40 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North District Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North District's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Lee Man Warriors has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
North District has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
North District VS Lee Man Warriors
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
North District
(Home) 13 Sept
North District
5 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5 North District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0 Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0 Tai Po
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2 North District
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0 Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0 Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2 Kitchee
Page 1 of 3
Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1 Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Kowloon City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 47:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Lee Man Warriors | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 47:19 | 36 |
| 3 | North District | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 36:27 | 31 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 31 |
| 5 | Eastern AA | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:28 | 25 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22:33 | 21 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Southern District | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:28 | 18 |
| 9 | Hong Kong Rangers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:38 | 17 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12:53 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
