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North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
North Esporte Clube
20%
Draws
38%
Novo Esporte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Esporte haven't matched North Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • North Esporte Clube are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • North Esporte Clube have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Novo Esporte, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 16%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Novo Esporte
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 15 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
0:0
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs North Esporte Clube
2:3
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 41 / 100
Novo Esporte 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Novo Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: North Esporte Clube scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: North Esporte Clube stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Novo Esporte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Novo Esporte
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
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Novo Esporte

(Away)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Novo Esporte
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
09 Nov
Boa
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes0
America TO5
TBD-
Valeriodoce-
Santarritense2
Novo Esporte5
TBD-
North Esporte Clube-
Nacional Uberaba0
Villa Real2
TBD-
Itabirito-
Mamore1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
TBD-
Araxa-
Quarter-finals
America TO1
Valeriodoce1
Novo Esporte2
North Esporte Clube3
Villa Real1
Itabirito1
Coimbra Esporte Clube2
Araxa1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce0
North Esporte Clube1
Itabirito3
Coimbra Esporte Clube5
Final
North Esporte Clube1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1