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North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
North Esporte Clube
30%
Draws
23%
Novo Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Esporte haven't matched North Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • North Esporte Clube are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • North Esporte Clube have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Novo Esporte, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Novo Esporte
Matches Played 38 25
Wins 20 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
0:0
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs North Esporte Clube
2:3
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 67 / 100
Novo Esporte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Novo Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: North Esporte Clube scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Recent resilience: North Esporte Clube stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Novo Esporte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Novo Esporte
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
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Novo Esporte

(Away)
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Novo Esporte
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes 0
America TO 5
TBD -
Valeriodoce -
Santarritense 2
Novo Esporte 5
TBD -
North Esporte Clube -
Nacional Uberaba 0
Villa Real 2
TBD -
Itabirito -
Mamore 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
TBD -
Araxa -
Quarter-finals
America TO 1
Valeriodoce 1
Novo Esporte 2
North Esporte Clube 3
Villa Real 1
Itabirito 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 2
Araxa 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 0
North Esporte Clube 1
Itabirito 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube 5
Final
North Esporte Clube 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1