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North Esporte Clube vs Valeriodoce

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with North Esporte Clube advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
North Esporte Clube
40%
Draws
29%
Valeriodoce
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of North Esporte Clube on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Valeriodoce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North Esporte Clube, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Valeriodoce
Matches Played 38 49
Wins 18 23
Draws 14 18
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Mineiro 2
North Esporte Clube vs Valeriodoce
0:0
May 18, 2025 Mineiro 2
Valeriodoce vs North Esporte Clube
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Valeriodoce
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs North Esporte Clube
0:0
Aug 13, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Valeriodoce
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 32 / 100
Valeriodoce 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Valeriodoce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Esporte Clube scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: North Esporte Clube remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Valeriodoce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 49 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Valeriodoce
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 8

Valeriodoce

(Away)
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1
Valeriodoce
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes0
America TO5
TBD-
Valeriodoce-
Santarritense2
Novo Esporte5
TBD-
North Esporte Clube-
Nacional Uberaba0
Villa Real2
TBD-
Itabirito-
Mamore1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
TBD-
Araxa-
Quarter-finals
America TO1
Valeriodoce1
Novo Esporte2
North Esporte Clube3
Villa Real1
Itabirito1
Coimbra Esporte Clube2
Araxa1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce0
North Esporte Clube1
Itabirito3
Coimbra Esporte Clube5
Final
North Esporte Clube1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1