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North Esporte Clube vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Ulisses

AI Match Summary

North Esporte Clube in this Mineiro 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
North Esporte Clube
20%
Draws
38%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • North Esporte Clube have won more games recently than Varginha.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on North Esporte Clube taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North Esporte Clube here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Varginha
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs North Esporte Clube
1:0
May 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
North Esporte Clube vs Varginha
1:0
May 20, 2023 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs North Esporte Clube
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulisses
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Varginha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 42 / 100
Varginha 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

North Esporte Clube found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: North Esporte Clube stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Varginha
0.75 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 7

Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Betim FC103528:714
2Aymores103439:913
3Valeriodoce1027110:813
4Nacional de Muriae1026214:1112
5Democrata SL102629:612
6Tupi-MG102445:1410
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1URT1054112:719
2North Esporte Clube106049:618
3Mamore104339:815
4Caldense102536:711
5Varginha101547:108
6Boa101548:138
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)