Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2023/2024

Ossett United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

North Ferriby FC play Ossett United in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Ferriby FC averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Ossett United averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, North Ferriby FC won 1, Ossett United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for North Ferriby FC and 1.56 for Ossett United. This points to a North Ferriby FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

North Ferriby FC

15%

Draws

37%

Ossett United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Ferriby FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

North Ferriby FC picked up more points recently compared to Ossett United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

North Ferriby FC Clean Sheet 15%

Ossett United Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Ferriby FC	Ossett United
Matches Played	13	29
Wins	5	12
Draws	1	0
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.31	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.85	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy

North Ferriby FC vs Ossett United

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Ferriby FC 46 / 100

Ossett United 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Ferriby FC Ossett United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: North Ferriby FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Ferriby FC attacking → ← attacking Ossett United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Ferriby FC scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Ossett United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

North Ferriby FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ossett United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 36

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50