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North Korea U17 W vs Spain U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Sun, Nov 3, 2024
2 - 1
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Korea U17 W play Spain U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Korea U17 W averaged 3.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Spain U17 W averaged 2.55 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, North Korea U17 W won 1, Spain U17 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 3, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for North Korea U17 W and 2.00 for Spain U17 W. This points to a North Korea U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
North Korea U17 W
15%
Draws
38%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • North Korea U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Spain U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 28 27
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 3.7 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Spain U17 W
2:1
Nov 24, 2018 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
2:1
Sep 25, 2010 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jon Il-Chong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Segura C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 W 44 / 100
Spain U17 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 W Spain U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: North Korea U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Korea U17 W attacking → ← attacking Spain U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Spain U17 W let in goals in 55% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

North Korea U17 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Spain U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

84 Points in last 5 86
5.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.63
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38