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North Korea U17 W vs Spain U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez, Santo Domingo
North Korea U17 W Logo

North Korea U17 W

Sun, Nov 3, 2024
2 - 1
10:00 PM
Spain U17 W Logo

Spain U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Choe Il-Son In: Ho Kyong
Out: Choe Il-Son
60'
Sub
So Ryu-Gyong In: Choe Yon-A
Out: So Ryu-Gyong
61' Event
Segura C.
Assist: Comendador P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with North Korea U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
North Korea U17 W
15%
Draws
27%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Korea U17 W come out ahead of Spain U17 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Korea U17 W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • North Korea U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U17 W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 28 21
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 3.7 2.53
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Spain U17 W
2:1
Nov 24, 2018 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
2:1
Sep 25, 2010 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jon Il-Chong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Segura C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 W 83 / 100
Spain U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 W Spain U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: North Korea U17 W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Spain U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U17 W VS Spain U17 W
5.13 Goals Scored 3.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U17 W

(Home)
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
China U17 W
2 : 4
North Korea U17 W
11 May
North Korea U17 W
6 : 0
Thailand U17 W
08 May
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0
South Korea U17 W
05 May
Philippines U17 W
0 : 8
North Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Spain U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nigeria U17 W 0
USA U17 W 2
North Korea U17 W 1
Poland U17 W 0
Spain U17 W 5
Ecuador U17 W 0
Japan U17 W 2
England U17 W 3
Semi-finals
USA U17 W 0
North Korea U17 W 1
Spain U17 W 3
England U17 W 0
Final
North Korea U17 W 2
Spain U17 W 1
USA U17 W 3
England U17 W 0