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Stadium Background

North Korea vs United Arab Emirates

World World

World Championship 2026 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lima F.
25'
Jong Hwi-Nam
35'
Ramadan A.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between North Korea and United Arab Emirates finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Arab Emirates.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
North Korea
28%
Draws
50%
United Arab Emirates
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: United Arab Emirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and United Arab Emirates come out ahead of North Korea on wins alone.
  • United Arab Emirates are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
North Korea Clean Sheet 10%
United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea United Arab Emirates
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
North Korea vs United Arab Emirates
1:2
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
United Arab Emirates vs North Korea
1:1
Aug 24, 2016 Friendly International
North Korea vs United Arab Emirates
2:0
Jan 11, 2011 Asian Cup
North Korea vs United Arab Emirates
0:0
Mar 28, 2009 World Championship
North Korea vs United Arab Emirates
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Yu-Song
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

United Arab Emirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adil S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea 22 / 100
United Arab Emirates 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea United Arab Emirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

United Arab Emirates's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

North Korea has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Korea VS United Arab Emirates
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran1072119:823
2Uzbekistan1063114:721
3United Arab Emirates1043315:815
4Qatar1041517:2413
5Kyrgyzstan1022612:188
6North Korea100379:213
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea1064020:722
2Jordan1044216:816
3Iraq104339:915
4Oman103259:1411
5Palestine1024410:1310
6Kuwait100557:205
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan1072130:323
2Australia1054116:719
3Saudi Arabia103437:813
4Indonesia103349:2012
5China103077:209
6Bahrain101365:166