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North Macedonia U18 vs Montenegro U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fatic N.
Own Goal
27' Event
Vukoje A.
49' Event
Markovski I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between North Macedonia U18 and Montenegro U18 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Macedonia U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
North Macedonia U18
20%
Draws
50%
Montenegro U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montenegro U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montenegro U18 come out ahead of North Macedonia U18 on wins alone.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • North Macedonia U18 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
North Macedonia U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Montenegro U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia U18 Montenegro U18
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
North Macedonia U18 vs Montenegro U18
1:0
Oct 4, 2026 Friendly International
North Macedonia U18 vs Montenegro U18
0:1
Dec 12, 2025 Friendly International
North Macedonia U18 vs Montenegro U18
2:1
Dec 10, 2025 Friendly International
North Macedonia U18 vs Montenegro U18
2:1
May 4, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U18 vs North Macedonia U18
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Markovski I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Montenegro U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukoje A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia U18 36 / 100
Montenegro U18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia U18 Montenegro U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia U18 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Montenegro U18 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

North Macedonia U18 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia U18 VS Montenegro U18
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia U18

(Home)
06 Oct
North Macedonia U18
1 : 0
Montenegro U18
04 Oct
North Macedonia U18
0 : 1
Montenegro U18
30 Apr
Serbia U18
3 : 0
North Macedonia U18
28 Feb
Bulgaria U19
2 : 0
North Macedonia U18
26 Feb
North Macedonia U18
1 : 2
Bulgaria U19
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Montenegro U18

(Away)
06 Oct
North Macedonia U18
1 : 0
Montenegro U18
04 Oct
North Macedonia U18
0 : 1
Montenegro U18
19 Feb
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
1 : 1
Montenegro U18
17 Feb
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
0 : 0
Montenegro U18
12 Dec
North Macedonia U18
2 : 1
Montenegro U18
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