Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Macedonia U21 vs Sweden U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Stadion Petar Milosevski, Bitola
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Elezi D.
Assist: Hamza M.
23'
Gashtarov M.
32' Event
Omorowa R.
Assist: Kusi Asare J.

AI Match Summary

Sweden U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
North Macedonia U21
20%
Draws
70%
Sweden U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sweden U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U21 have won more games recently than North Macedonia U21.
  • North Macedonia U21 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sweden U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
North Macedonia U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia U21 Sweden U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.68 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Euro U21
North Macedonia U21 vs Sweden U21
1:4
Mar 26, 2024 Euro U21
North Macedonia U21 vs Sweden U21
0:2
Sep 8, 2023 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21
0:1
Aug 15, 2006 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Elezi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omorowa R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sonko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia U21 41 / 100
Sweden U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sweden U21 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

North Macedonia U21 scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

North Macedonia U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia U21 VS Sweden U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia U21

(Home)
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
22 Aug
Tunisia U21
0 : 0
North Macedonia U21
08 Jun
North Macedonia U21
0 : 2
USA U20
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
Page 1 of 7

Sweden U21

(Away)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)